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“For a long time, the Netherlands has had a robust economy and a strong labor force. With a huge active labor force of 9.6 million (out of a population of 17.6 million), the country has one of the highest employment and labor productivity rates in the European Union. Globally, the Netherlands ranks fifth for competitiveness… However, some trends are putting pressure on the labor market and may hinder the country’s ability to achieve its social and economic goals. In particular, an aging population due to low birth rates and declining productivity growth are causing tightness in the labor market.”

So begins McKinsey’s report ‘Netherlands advanced: Building a future labor market that works.’ The Dutch labor market faces significant challenges. The report warns that the current tightness could seriously affect the economy. To fill open vacancies, Dutch people may have to work two to three different occupations in the future. The shortage is becoming more acute, especially in healthcare, IT, and technical occupations. The report concludes that this calls for a fundamental review of how we approach work and skills.

Why this is important:

A new report by McKinsey warns that tightness in the labor market could have severe consequences for the Dutch economy. That’s why our labor market needs a makeover, the report says. McKinsey concludes that labor productivity growth in the Netherlands is too low in a new report. And so our labor market needs a shake-up.

The tightness in numbers

According to McKinsey’s report, there are currently 110 job openings for every 100 unemployed people in the Netherlands. This means there are more open jobs than available job seekers, significantly increasing the pressure on the labor market. This situation is only expected to become more acute in the coming years, especially in healthcare, IT, and technical occupations.

Causes of labor market problems

Several trends cause labor market problems. These include an aging population, declining productivity growth, increasing inequality, and health problems. These factors are increasing the demand for labor while decreasing the supply. In addition, the quality of education has declined, contributing to the shortage of skilled workers.

Future shortages

McKinsey predicts a shortage of 1.4 million workers in the Netherlands by 2030. In specific sectors such as healthcare, IT, and technical occupations, the shortages could reach 245,000, 105,000, and 100,000 vacancies, respectively. These shortages will majorly impact the Dutch economy and the quality of services in these crucial sectors.

Solutions and recommendations

McKinsey makes several recommendations to address these problems. One key strategy is to increase productivity through technological innovations and retraining workers to higher-productivity jobs. It also suggests optimizing labor market participation, which could help reduce shortages by 100,000 to 200,000 people by 2030.

Train of job transitions

Another key point in the report is the need for ‘train of job transitions. This means that workers must continually retrain to meet the changing demands of the job market. According to McKinsey, it will become normal for people to change professions multiple times during their careers, requiring a cultural shift and structural adjustments in how we view work and learning.

The role of government and employers

Addressing labor market tightness requires a coordinated effort by the government, employers, educational institutions, and NGOs. According to McKinsey, these parties must work together to transform the labor market. This includes investing in research and development, improving working conditions, and promoting a healthy work-life balance.

McKinsey emphasizes the urgency of immediate action. Without drastic measures, the tightness in the labor market will only increase, with dire consequences for the Dutch economy and society.